Evaporation from dam reservoir surfaces is considered a key parameter in hydrology and water resource management. The complexity of nonlinear relationships among meteorological factors limits the accuracy of classical evaporation estimation methods. In this research, a Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System was employed as a novel approach for predicting evaporation from the Boukan Dam reservoir in West Azerbaijan Province, Iran. Monthly meteorological data from 2008-2023, including air temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation, were used as model inputs, while monthly evaporation was considered the output. Regression analysis was used to select the optimal combination of input parameters, with eight different combinations being tested. The model performed best with maximum temperature as input. The Trimf (triangular) membership function yielded the best results. Furthermore, 100 training epochs performed better than other epoch numbers. In the best scenario, the correlation coefficient between observed and predicted data was 0.927. These findings demonstrate the high capability of the neuro-fuzzy system in predicting evaporation from the Boukan Dam reservoir and present a more accurate approach compared to traditional methods.
Type of Study:
Applicable |
Subject:
Special Received: 2025/12/31 | Accepted: 2026/01/31 | Published: 2026/01/31